2023年2月4日,

马克·r·安德森的战略新闻服务,未来在审查会议和模式的计算机。流行的人工智能方法有一个“explainability问题”——无法清楚地看到输入和输出之间发生了什么,这个挑战将防止神经网络主要的新进展。这是一个预测的2023马克·r·安德森的创始主席和首席执行官战略新闻服务(SNS)和未来回顾会议。一个作家、科学家和企业家,他的使用模式发现准确预测未来,和他的预测是原因之一SNS一直在密切关注该行业自1995年以来。安德森承认既得利益在他的神经网络,电脑作为机器学习公司的CEO模式,它使用一个替代方法,聚焦于模式识别。创造了改进神经网络在预测利率,安德森说这“黑盒”问题织机作为一个基本障碍。”这个工具是一个钝力工具,”安德森说。“你不是想让你的未来业务的增量的改进预测率。GeekWire播客”这一集,他回答问题两个2023年的预测:怀疑需要近期未来的自治系统,加上虚拟现实和“metaverse。”安德森metaverse的主题,介绍了术语“MegaFUP,”代表大型未能理解的潜力。参考的ceo做不成比例的大量押注技术潜力有限。 Exhibit A for metaverse MegaFUP, he says, is Meta’s Mark Zuckerberg. “Anyone who’s ever studied this stuff closely is fully briefed on the nausea effects, the effects of dizziness,” he says, citing the challenges encountered by Microsoft’s HoloLens in the military as the latest example. “And yet, Zuckerberg has put billions and billions and billions of dollars in the hope that that’s not true. It is true.” Bringing it full circle, does Anderson think Microsoft’s big bet on OpenAI is a MegaFUP? “Maybe it’s the right move at the right time for Microsoft. But what really we’re seeing is an arms race, a weapons race between the big cloud guys, because the amount of money at stake is indescribable,” he says. “Is GPT the answer to their problems? Probably not,” he adds. “So temporarily, it’s a new weapon to further differentiate against the other three kids in the fight. But how long would that particular advantage last? Two years, three years. But you’ve got to have more than that if you really want to win.” Anderson’s full list of predictions is available to SNS subscribers . Anderson is the featured speaker at an event on Thursday, Feb. 9 in Bellingham, Wash., benefitting the Rotary Club of Bellingham. Tickets available here . Listen above, or subscribe to GeekWire in Apple Podcasts , Google Podcasts , Spotify or wherever you listen. Podcast edited by Curt Milton. Sponsor Post This podcast is brought to you by Zendesk: When you choose Zendesk for Startups, best-in-class customer support is just the beginning. You’ll also get access to a community of startup founders to help you navigate the ups and downs of an ever-changing market, and get the support your startup needs to succeed now. Try Zendesk for Startups.